Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 15.695110 17.895781 20.254015 22.964371 25.988521 29.254059 33.042072
2024-10-06 13.513181 16.684245 20.317889 24.770480 30.059056 36.118456 43.563880
2024-10-13 11.232622 14.937970 19.455089 25.322221 32.691324 41.586267 53.075132
2024-10-20 9.021406 12.895014 17.907096 24.786306 33.888678 45.415024 60.992348
2024-10-27 7.224946 11.076588 16.354021 23.986046 34.587974 48.619148 68.379908
2024-11-03 6.412661 10.464259 16.303512 25.141181 37.942122 55.530788 81.175277
2024-11-10 6.049267 10.436946 17.050124 27.465839 43.108407 65.302942 98.629266
2024-11-17 5.491579 10.013744 17.136973 28.799994 46.937776 73.474532 114.448112
2024-11-24 4.762334 9.189846 16.483338 28.899732 48.890600 79.036075 126.868419
2024-12-01 4.013306 8.204234 15.427444 28.212529 49.515477 82.605742 136.522693
2024-12-08 3.489041 7.529744 14.793936 28.121798 51.036106 87.597695 148.609974
2024-12-15 3.114545 7.071770 14.470343 28.501297 53.324426 93.906572 163.099092
2024-12-22 2.721733 6.526110 13.942149 28.505561 55.052933 99.563179 177.154047
2024-12-29 2.563726 6.439493 14.266158 30.091884 59.666365 110.295656 200.173659
2025-01-05 2.278215 6.027235 13.900280 30.339865 61.906171 117.179485 217.245665
2025-01-12 1.925114 5.394127 12.998955 29.443047 61.954524 120.275252 228.085655
2025-01-19 1.609320 4.783417 12.052952 28.335651 61.482435 122.385866 237.313322
2025-01-26 1.510390 4.693801 12.227405 29.548454 65.575786 132.943687 261.990543
2025-02-02 1.512116 4.867608 13.015490 32.135081 72.573002 149.220404 297.747131
2025-02-09 1.436252 4.817600 13.277416 33.602063 77.420615 161.772624 327.392171
2025-02-16 1.285220 4.526666 12.927122 33.672729 79.406355 169.036347 347.703371
2025-02-23 1.106830 4.115940 12.223260 32.857604 79.460571 172.579668 361.249829
2025-03-02 0.984421 3.847355 11.837815 32.734267 80.962032 179.001103 380.525168